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Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. (BSLK)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 revenue was $1.29M, roughly flat year over year (Q4 2023: $1.41M) with near break-even gross profit; adjusted EBITDA deteriorated to ($3.61M) versus ($0.23M) in Q4 2023 .
  • Management maintained FY2025 revenue guidance at least $4.5M and introduced a FY2026 target of $9.0M; they reiterated expectations for positive full-year gross profit in 2025 and 2026 .
  • Operational execution improved: 2024 production surpassed 3,600 kg with cost per kilo down ~50% YoY and recognition via EcoVadis Silver (top 15%) .
  • Commercial traction broadened: Haus Labs’ b-silk-enabled mascara became Sephora’s top-selling, exceeding volume projections 4x; a $4M annual minimum supply agreement with Goddess Maintenance is supporting initial shipments .
  • Wall Street consensus estimates were unavailable via S&P Global for Q4 2024; comparative analysis vs estimates could not be completed (attempted retrieval; SPGI daily request limit exceeded).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong commercial milestones: Haus Labs mascara featuring b‑silk™ quickly became the top-selling mascara at Sephora, exceeding initial volume projections by 4x, evidencing product-market fit and category expansion into color cosmetics .
  • Scalable operations and cost discipline: 3,600+ kg produced in 2024 at the lowest cost ever achieved; cost-per-kilo down ~50% YoY, passed through to customers to accelerate adoption; earned EcoVadis Silver (top 15%) reinforcing sustainability credentials .
  • Pipeline and guidance: FY2025 revenue “at least $4.5M” maintained, FY2026 $9.0M target introduced, reflecting multi-year supply agreements and expected adoption; management reiterated the path to positive full-year gross profit in 2025 and 2026 .

Management quotes:

  • “Customers closed in 2025 will further drive us to our goal of becoming free cash flow positive.” — CEO Dan Widmaier .
  • “We are building a strong pipeline of business that will deliver significant financial performance in the coming years.” — President Cintia Nardi .

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability still challenging: Adjusted EBITDA worsened to ($3.61M) in Q4 2024 vs ($0.23M) in Q4 2023; operating loss remained elevated at ($6.52M) .
  • Gross margin dynamics: Q4 2024 posted near break-even gross profit vs 19% gross margin in Q4 2023, as higher logistics costs and mix shifts weighed on gross profit .
  • Topline dependence and variability: FY2024 revenue fell to $1.37M vs $3.44M in 2023 due to lower b‑silk™ sales and prior-year stocking by Vegamour, highlighting reliance on new launches to drive scale .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1.41 $0.01 $1.29
Gross Profit ($USD Thousands)$261 $35 ($18)
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$6.53 $20.21 $6.50
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)($6.27) ($20.21) ($6.52)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)($7.67) $6.39 ($6.26)
Basic EPS ($USD)$46.38 $0.32 ($0.19)
Diluted EPS ($USD)($2.13) $0.32 ($0.19)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)($0.23) ($2.77) ($3.61)

Balance sheet (year-end):

MetricFY 2023FY 2024
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Thousands)$894 $3,512
Inventory ($USD Thousands)$235 $1,760
Accounts Receivable ($USD Thousands)$870
Total Assets ($USD Thousands)$24,274 $12,230
Total Liabilities ($USD Thousands)$42,926 $20,840
Long-term Debt, Non-current ($USD Thousands)$13,340 $13,186
Total Stockholders' Deficit ($USD Thousands)($112,541) ($8,610)

KPIs and operational metrics:

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024
Production Volume (Vegan Silk, kg)>3,000 kg YTD >3,600 kg full-year
Cost per kilo reduction (YoY)>60% ~50%
EcoVadis MedalSilver (top 15%) Silver (top 15%)
Granted Patents64 68
Pending Patent Applications170 166

Notes:

  • Q4 2024 gross margin described as near break-even; Q4 2023 gross margin was 19% .
  • Q3 2024 net income reflects remeasurement gains on warrant liabilities .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024“Over $1.0M” anticipated (based on Q4 deliveries) Reported $1.37M Beat prior projection
RevenueFY 2025At least $4.5M At least $4.5M Maintained
RevenueFY 2026$9.0M target Introduced
Gross ProfitFY 2025Positive expected Positive expected Maintained
Gross ProfitFY 2026Positive expected Introduced

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found; themes are derived from filings and press materials.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Supply chain scalabilityQ3: >3,000 kg produced; expanded CMO capacity; production stability emphasized 2024 >3,600 kg at lowest cost achieved; ~50% YoY cost reduction; Silver EcoVadis Improving
Regulatory/macro (silicones)Q3: Positioned to meet regulatory restrictions and sustainability demands Heightened regulatory pressures cited; biotech alternatives gaining demand Intensifying tailwind
Product performanceQ3: New SPF launches (Freaks of Nature); Vegamour haircare baseline Haus Labs mascara top-selling at Sephora; 4x volume vs plan Accelerating
R&D executionQ3: xl‑silk launch; five new molecules; INCI names; IP 64 granted/170 pending Platform expansion; 68 granted/166 pending; customized claims via b‑silk/xl‑silk Expanding
Corporate financingQ3: ~$28M PIPE/bridge financing; public listing completed Early 2025: $1.5M expected from Triton Funds Ongoing support

Q-2 (Q2 2024) filings or press releases were not located; trend comparisons focus on Q3 2024 and Q4 2024.

Management Commentary

  • CEO Dan Widmaier: “We saw substantial progress with our Vegan Silk Technology Platform, building on the demand for our commercially ready b‑silk™ offering. Customers closed in 2025 will further drive us to our goal of becoming free cash flow positive.”
  • President Cintia Nardi: “We are building a strong pipeline of business that will deliver significant financial performance in the coming years… As regulatory pressures on silicones… intensify, the demand for high‑performance, sustainable alternatives continues to rise.”
  • CTO David Breslauer: “We expanded the Vegan Silk Technology Platform by further advancing b‑silk™ and introducing xl‑silk™, both highly efficacious ingredients… that offer the flexibility to generate customized performance claims.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found in company documents; Q&A highlights and any clarifications from live discussion are unavailable.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024 were not available via S&P Global at the time of analysis due to a daily request limit. Values could not be retrieved; therefore, we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus.
  • Given the reported revenue of $1.29M and near break-even gross profit, any future consensus revisions may focus on commercialization pacing and gross margin trajectory as 2025 guide execution begins .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Commercial validation is building: Sephora top-selling placement and 4x volumes for Haus Labs’ mascara indicate strong category expansion and consumer acceptance for b‑silk™ .
  • Execution on scale and cost is evident: 3,600+ kg produced in 2024 at lowest cost; cost-per-kilo down ~50% YoY with sustainability recognition (EcoVadis Silver) .
  • Guidance trajectory intact and expanded: FY2025 at least $4.5M maintained; FY2026 $9.0M target introduced; positive gross profit expected in both years, a key stock narrative driver as gross margins inflect .
  • Financials improving vs prior quarter on cost/mix but profitability remains a work-in-progress: Q4 2024 near break-even gross profit and lower opex vs Q3, yet adjusted EBITDA and operating losses remain sizable, implying continued scaling required .
  • Revenue variability tied to launch timing: FY2024 sales ($1.37M) reflect dependence on partner ramps; multi-year contracts and pipeline should reduce volatility as launches scale in 2025-2026 .
  • Balance sheet improved (cash up to $3.51M; stockholders’ deficit narrowed), but leverage persists (LT debt ~$13.19M), suggesting financing discipline and milestone execution are crucial .
  • Near-term trading implication: Headlines around 2025 launches and gross profit inflection are potential catalysts; monitor execution against the $4.5M+ 2025 revenue guide and margin delivery to validate the medium-term thesis .

Sources: Q4 2024 8-K earnings press release and exhibits ; Q3 2024 8-K earnings press release and exhibits ; Company news posts (for additional context) .