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Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. (BSLK)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $1.29M, roughly flat year over year (Q4 2023: $1.41M) with near break-even gross profit; adjusted EBITDA deteriorated to ($3.61M) versus ($0.23M) in Q4 2023 .
- Management maintained FY2025 revenue guidance at least $4.5M and introduced a FY2026 target of $9.0M; they reiterated expectations for positive full-year gross profit in 2025 and 2026 .
- Operational execution improved: 2024 production surpassed 3,600 kg with cost per kilo down ~50% YoY and recognition via EcoVadis Silver (top 15%) .
- Commercial traction broadened: Haus Labs’ b-silk-enabled mascara became Sephora’s top-selling, exceeding volume projections 4x; a $4M annual minimum supply agreement with Goddess Maintenance is supporting initial shipments .
- Wall Street consensus estimates were unavailable via S&P Global for Q4 2024; comparative analysis vs estimates could not be completed (attempted retrieval; SPGI daily request limit exceeded).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong commercial milestones: Haus Labs mascara featuring b‑silk™ quickly became the top-selling mascara at Sephora, exceeding initial volume projections by 4x, evidencing product-market fit and category expansion into color cosmetics .
- Scalable operations and cost discipline: 3,600+ kg produced in 2024 at the lowest cost ever achieved; cost-per-kilo down ~50% YoY, passed through to customers to accelerate adoption; earned EcoVadis Silver (top 15%) reinforcing sustainability credentials .
- Pipeline and guidance: FY2025 revenue “at least $4.5M” maintained, FY2026 $9.0M target introduced, reflecting multi-year supply agreements and expected adoption; management reiterated the path to positive full-year gross profit in 2025 and 2026 .
Management quotes:
- “Customers closed in 2025 will further drive us to our goal of becoming free cash flow positive.” — CEO Dan Widmaier .
- “We are building a strong pipeline of business that will deliver significant financial performance in the coming years.” — President Cintia Nardi .
What Went Wrong
- Profitability still challenging: Adjusted EBITDA worsened to ($3.61M) in Q4 2024 vs ($0.23M) in Q4 2023; operating loss remained elevated at ($6.52M) .
- Gross margin dynamics: Q4 2024 posted near break-even gross profit vs 19% gross margin in Q4 2023, as higher logistics costs and mix shifts weighed on gross profit .
- Topline dependence and variability: FY2024 revenue fell to $1.37M vs $3.44M in 2023 due to lower b‑silk™ sales and prior-year stocking by Vegamour, highlighting reliance on new launches to drive scale .
Financial Results
Balance sheet (year-end):
KPIs and operational metrics:
Notes:
- Q4 2024 gross margin described as near break-even; Q4 2023 gross margin was 19% .
- Q3 2024 net income reflects remeasurement gains on warrant liabilities .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found; themes are derived from filings and press materials.
Q-2 (Q2 2024) filings or press releases were not located; trend comparisons focus on Q3 2024 and Q4 2024.
Management Commentary
- CEO Dan Widmaier: “We saw substantial progress with our Vegan Silk Technology Platform, building on the demand for our commercially ready b‑silk™ offering. Customers closed in 2025 will further drive us to our goal of becoming free cash flow positive.”
- President Cintia Nardi: “We are building a strong pipeline of business that will deliver significant financial performance in the coming years… As regulatory pressures on silicones… intensify, the demand for high‑performance, sustainable alternatives continues to rise.”
- CTO David Breslauer: “We expanded the Vegan Silk Technology Platform by further advancing b‑silk™ and introducing xl‑silk™, both highly efficacious ingredients… that offer the flexibility to generate customized performance claims.”
Q&A Highlights
- No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found in company documents; Q&A highlights and any clarifications from live discussion are unavailable.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024 were not available via S&P Global at the time of analysis due to a daily request limit. Values could not be retrieved; therefore, we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus.
- Given the reported revenue of $1.29M and near break-even gross profit, any future consensus revisions may focus on commercialization pacing and gross margin trajectory as 2025 guide execution begins .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Commercial validation is building: Sephora top-selling placement and 4x volumes for Haus Labs’ mascara indicate strong category expansion and consumer acceptance for b‑silk™ .
- Execution on scale and cost is evident: 3,600+ kg produced in 2024 at lowest cost; cost-per-kilo down ~50% YoY with sustainability recognition (EcoVadis Silver) .
- Guidance trajectory intact and expanded: FY2025 at least $4.5M maintained; FY2026 $9.0M target introduced; positive gross profit expected in both years, a key stock narrative driver as gross margins inflect .
- Financials improving vs prior quarter on cost/mix but profitability remains a work-in-progress: Q4 2024 near break-even gross profit and lower opex vs Q3, yet adjusted EBITDA and operating losses remain sizable, implying continued scaling required .
- Revenue variability tied to launch timing: FY2024 sales ($1.37M) reflect dependence on partner ramps; multi-year contracts and pipeline should reduce volatility as launches scale in 2025-2026 .
- Balance sheet improved (cash up to $3.51M; stockholders’ deficit narrowed), but leverage persists (LT debt ~$13.19M), suggesting financing discipline and milestone execution are crucial .
- Near-term trading implication: Headlines around 2025 launches and gross profit inflection are potential catalysts; monitor execution against the $4.5M+ 2025 revenue guide and margin delivery to validate the medium-term thesis .
Sources: Q4 2024 8-K earnings press release and exhibits ; Q3 2024 8-K earnings press release and exhibits ; Company news posts (for additional context) .